Monday, February 11, 2008

Barack Sweeps Past Hill

This weekend was an amazing one for Obama as he won all five states who were holding democratic primaries on Saturday. Most of them, like his last wins held a margin of 10 - 30 percentage points. As if the race could not be any closer, current delegate count is separated by an amazing 28 delegates. Hillary is still holding the lead with 1136 and Obama has 1108.

On the GOP ticket, which saw three primaries this weekend, McCain took one state with Huckabee winning in two. McCain holds a huge delegate lead with 719 to Huckabee's 234. I want to know if it is even possible for Huckabee to win the 1191 delegates needed to advance. I don't know off hand how many delegates are up for grabs in the next few months, but I will let you know.

No question, I'll put my money on McCain being on the ballet next November, but I have not found any source yet that is willing to declare a winner in the democratic camp. The race continues with the next set of states voting on the 19th.

Thursday, February 7, 2008

This Seals The Deal For Me

Well, I know for sure now that I will not be voting in the Republican Primary in March. It sounds dramatic (actually this whole post will probably sound dramatic), but I felt like I was punched in the gut a few minutes ago when I read that Mitt Romney has bowed out of the Presidental race, leaving John McCain and Mike Huckabee on the ballet. Mitt Romney, I believe, was the republician's last hope for a conservative candidate for the white house race. I agree with conservative talk show hosts who said that "a vote for Mike Huckabee is a vote for John McCain." Mike Huckabee cannot win the election, it was obvious last week that he could not win the election, so his reluctance to leave the race gracefully, divided the conservative vote, eliminating Mitt Romney's chance to catch John McCain. Huckabee's actions were selfish and have virtually guaranteed a liberal win in November. John McCain's best bet to gain the conservative voters would be to pick up Mike Huckabee as a running mate (which has been predicted in the media), but I believe that the damage has already been done in reguard to the conservative. John McCain, pure and simple is not a conservative candidate. He believes in liberal ideas and has liberal values that will destroy the GOP as we know it. It is a mixed blessing that he cannot win against either Obama or Clinton.

Conservative talk radio host Ann Colter (she is a little to "right winged" for me) said that if McCain is named the republician nominee, she will campaign for Hillary Clinton. I predict more conservative's will follow dividing between Clinton and Obama camps. On his show yesterday, Dave Ramsey made a prediction that is sad but true. He said that if another candidate was added to the ballet, that candidate would win by a landslide. That candidate's name? "Mr. None of the Above." I have said it before, but I don't understand in a country as large as ours, why this is the best we can come up with for president.

I will not vote for either John McCain or Mike Huckabee. I really feel uncomfortable about Hillary Clinton. Barack Obama - here is your chance to win me over - you better spend some of that money in Texas or Mr. None of the Above may get my write in vote.......

Wednesday, February 6, 2008

Okay Kim, How Do We Read That....?

My fancy spacing did not turn out right in the next blog, so here are the instructions (as if you are not smart enough to figure it out!) For the democrats - the first state in each line belongs to Hillary and the second belongs to Obama. For the republicians - the first state is McCain's, the second Romney's and the third Huckabee's.

Closer Than Ever

I stayed up pretty late last night, watching the numbers come in from the Super Tuesday primarires and it was so exciting that it felt almost like the presidental election does - waiting for numbers and people predicting the outcomes. In case you are not as crazy about politics as I am here are the candidates and the states that they won.

Hillary Clinton Barack Obama
Arkansas North Dakota
New Jersey Utah
New York Alabama
Oklahoma Conn.
Tennessee Georgia
Mass. Illinois
Arizona Kansas
California Minn.
Delaware
Alaska
Idaho
Colorado
Missouri

Hillary earned 728 delegates while Obama is less than 100 behind with 633. One interesting thing that I noticed last night that in the races where Hillary won the state, the voting numbers were very close, with just 7%-15% separating the two, but when Obama won, he won big. He won by 30% or more in several states. I predict that this will be a race to the end. I know that the Clinton's were not expecting this good of a showing and that has to be eating at them. John Edwards has been very quitet since removing himself from the race. You can only think that the vice presidency is on his mind and he would run with either candidate.

On the Republician side:

McCain Romney Huckabee
New Jersey Mass. Arkansas
New York Utah Alabama
Oklahoma North Dakota West Virginia
Conn. Minn, Georgia
Illin. Alaska Tennessee
Arizona Colorado
California Montana
Delaware
Missouri

Not suprisingly, Pastor Mike took home some of the southern states where there is a larger consertative Christian population. Several days before Tuesday, right wing talk radio hosts were proclaming that a vote for Huckabee was a vote for McCain, in essence saying that they were taking away votes that could help Romney. I really think at this point both Huckabee and Romney are out and McCain will gain the nomination. He cannot beat Clinton or Obama though. Delegates on this side have a much farther spread: McCain has 547, Romney has 223, and Huckabee has 145.

Both teams are a long way from having a declared winner. On the democratic side a candidate must win 2025 delegates and the republician must have 1191. The next chance to gain more delegates will be on Feb. 9, where Lousisana, Washington, and Kansas(Rep.) will cast their ballots.

Monday, February 4, 2008

Spelling, speling, spellin'

Spelling has never been one of my stronger atributes. Spell check was invented for me. Unfortunally, the spell check has not been working on Blogger the past couple of days. So, for any of you who did not notice spelling mistakes, don't look too closely now, but for my teacher friends (especially my English teacher friend) please don't think that I was lying to you when I said I have my master's degree. It is true, I have the student loans to prove it, but I found out while working on that degree that my spell check is worth it's weight in gold! Forgive the mistakes and pray that the spell check starts working again!

Wonder What It Is Like In The Schwarzenegger House?

As most of you probably know by now, my morning routine starts by turing on the Today Show to see what happened in the world overnight. I really like that show because instead of either just news or just entertainment news (there is a huge difference) they do a pretty good balance of each in the first half hour or so. I do have my real news hour later in the day with WOAI and Nightly News in the evening, but I start my day with Meredith, Matt, and Al. ANYWAY........this morning I was greeted with four smiling women at an Obama rally over the weekend. Those women included Michelle Obama, Caroline Kennedy, Oprah (what is Oprah's last name???) and Maria Shriver. Yes, the first lady of California has chosen to endorce Barack Obama! This is after her husband, the
Gover-nator, endorced Republician canidate John McCain late last week.

To be a fly on the wall at the California Governor's Mansion (although I have heard that they don't live in the governors mansion, but you know what I mean)! This endorcement is a great boost for Obama as it will probably bring him more of the "powerful" female votes that Hillary has been trying to capture.

I am very blessed to have a spouse who shares most of the same views, political and otherwise, as I do. I know that is not the case in many homes, but we agree for the most part. We both are really interested in politics and government. As you might recall from my first post, I started college as a political science/history major and my husband is hopelessly addicted to XM talk radio. We do talk a lot about politics and current events and hope to instill at least a small interest in those to our daughter. We, or I, don't want to force our ideas on our child, I just want to make sure that she cares about the world around her and that she knows as she grows up that the world is much bigger than the United States. There is nothing that saddens me more than the attitude of so many people who could care less about the world around them. My husband, unlike me, probably will require our child to embrace his views. Our child was born in November 2004 (election year) and my husband, her daddy, wore his "Texan's For Bush" shirt to the delievery. He and my doctor compared conservative views in between contractions and I know he was secretly pleased that one of our daughter's first sights was his shirt.

I think that I get my love for history and current event from my dad who knows more about everything than anyone I know. He loves to read and reads everything he can, newspapers, business magazines, books (we have a really great book exchange going). My dad is a great person to talk to about politics or current events, primarly because you can learn so much from him, but also because even if he doesn't agree with you, he listens to your point and allows you to have your own opinion without trying to change you. My husband and I both talk about how much we learn from him and I own my thirst for knowlege to him (and my mom - but she gave me the crafty, sewing, scrapbooking, cooking side, which my friends and husband are eternally grateful for, not the political interest side!!!) I truly hope to show my daughter how important events outside of her small world are to us.

It is so important for everyone to take at least a small interest in our country and our world. We should know that things that happen in the US effect every corner of the world and our decisions make things happen. That is what makes me so sad when people don't care about what happens in the country or when people choose not to vote. Our future depends on the decisions that we make at the polls. Many, many people will vote tomorrow and will tell the canidates what they think by their vote. It is still anyone's game (except maybe for Mike Huckabee, he has a lot of ground to make up if he wants to have a chance), it will be exciting!

Saturday, February 2, 2008

Will Super Tuesday Hold The Answers?

Tuesday promises to be an eventful day with 1681 democratic delegates and 1023 republician delegates up for grab when 21 states head to the polls. Current delegate holdings are as follows:

Democrats
Clinton 256 delegates
Obama 181 delegates

Republicians
McCain 93 delegates
Romney 59 delegates
Huckabee 40 delegates

The democratic canidates need 2025 delegates to win and the republicians need 1191. The official winners will be decided during the 2008 national conventions. The republicians will hold their convention September 1-4 in St.Paul Minnesota while the democrats hold their's a few days earlier on August 25-28 in Denver, Colorado. There is no clear winner yet but many predict that there will be after "Super Tuesday." With as many twists and turns that this campaign has taken, I would not be so sure that we could count on Tuesday's numbers. Primaries take place through the end of May and you know what they say about the fat lady singing. There should be plenty more exciting months ahead.